Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 2
Swansea

Bundu (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fulton (44'), Cullen (60')
Key (20'), Peart-Harris (90+3'), Vipotnik (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swansea City
29.59% ( 0.16)	23.83% ( 0.03)	46.57% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.55% (

-0.05)

42.44% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.15% (

-0.05)

64.85% (

0.05)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

0.08)

27.17% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

0.1)

62.57% (

-0.1)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

-0.09)

18.43% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.4% (

-0.16)

49.6% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 29.59%

Swansea City 46.57%

Draw 23.83%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 29.59%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.57%