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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Plymouth Argyle

Norwich
6 - 1
Plymouth

Sainz (2', 17', 72'), Duffy (51'), Ben Slimane (80'), Crnac (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bundu (39')
Sorinola (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
60.52% (0.046999999999997 0.05)21.26% (0.109 0.11)18.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.671 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-0.746 -0.75)42.8% (0.748 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-0.746 -0.75)65.2% (0.747 0.75)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (-0.226 -0.23)13.7% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.06% (-0.452 -0.45)40.94% (0.454 0.45)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (-0.611 -0.61)37.11% (0.613 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.612 -0.61)73.9% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 60.5%
    Plymouth Argyle 18.22%
    Draw 21.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.241 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Plymouth

Norwich City
67.7%
Draw
12.9%
Plymouth Argyle
19.4%
62
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Huckerby (87' pen.), Evans (2')
Russell (57')
Timar (89')
Hayles (38'), Nalis (45'), Connolly (86'), Ebanks-Blake (90')
rhs 2.0


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