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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 60.52% ( | 21.26% ( | 18.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( | 42.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( | 65.2% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( | 13.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.06% ( | 40.94% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.88% ( | 37.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% ( | 73.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.22% |