Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Esse (13')
Honeyman (8'), Azeez (45+1'), Saville (59'), Cooper (76'), Bryan (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Szucs (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
58.31% ( 0.71)	23.29% ( -0.31)	18.39% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 48.18% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.91% (

0.63)

51.08% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06% (

0.55)

72.94% (

-0.56)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

0.49)

17.24% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44% (

0.85)

47.55% (

-0.86)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21% (

-0.11)

41.78% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.75% (

-0.09)

78.25% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Millwall 58.31%

Plymouth Argyle 18.39%

Draw 23.29%

Millwall	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.31%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.39%