Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • George Honeyman 8' yellowcard
  • Romain Esse 13' goal
  • Femi Azeez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • George Saville 59' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 76' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kornel Szucs 63'

Millwall vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Millwall 1 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 12.30pm
Cardiff 5 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mustapha Bundu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result

Millwall 58.31% (+0.72)
Draw 23.29% (-0.31)
Plymouth Argyle 18.39% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.18% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.91% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 51.08% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 27.06% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 72.94% (-0.56)
Over 4.5 12.69% (+0.37)
Under 4.5 87.31% (-0.37)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 82.75% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 17.24% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 52.44% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 47.55% (-0.86)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 58.21% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.78% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.75% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 78.25% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Millwall 58.31%
Draw 23.29%
Plymouth Argyle 18.39%
Millwall
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 11.13% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.52% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.69% (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.87% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.5% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-94.40)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.29%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.39%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Jake Cooper 83' goal
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Mickel Miller 31' yellowcard
  • Julio Pleguezuelo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 52'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 54'
  • yellowcard Allan Campbell 54'
  • goal Zian Flemming 59'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 89'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 90'+4'
  • goal George Saville 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 90'+7'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den (London)
  • Shaun Williams 64' goal
  • Lee Gregory 84' goal
  • Aiden O'Brien 89' goal
  • goal Jamie Ness 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Edwards 63'
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 67'
  • yellowcard Jamie Ness 90'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
3
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jake Jervis 34' goal
  • Graham Carey 56' goal
  • Jake Kervis 85' goal
  • Ben Purrington 91' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Gregory 21'
  • goal Lee Gregory 43'
  • goal Lee Gregory 49'
  • goal Lee Gregory 58'
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 66'
  • yellowcard Byron Webster 93'
Championship
Apr 15, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marvin Williams 31' goal
  • Marvin Williams 62' yellowcard
  • goal Vincent Pericard 10'
  • yellowcard Paul Wotton 44'
Championship
Oct 30, 2005 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Phil Ifil 87'