Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 1
Preston

Honeyman (24'), Esse (38'), Langstaff (47')
Honeyman (39'), Bryan (86'), Emakhu (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Storey (87')
Holmes (42'), McCann (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Blackburn
Sunday, September 22 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Preston North End
41.55% ( 0.09)	27.44% ( -0.19)	31.01% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.54% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.1% (

0.71)

56.89% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

0.57)

77.81% (

-0.57)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

0.39)

26.97% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

0.5)

62.31% (

-0.5)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

0.44)

33.54% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

0.48)

70.18% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Millwall 41.55%

Preston North End 31.01%

Draw 27.44%

Millwall	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.01%