Championship

Championship | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
4 - 3
Millwall

Mehmeti (3'), Armstrong (12'), Mayulu (78'), Twine (88')
Sykes (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Esse (51'), Bradshaw (54' pen.), Watmore (64')
De Norre (49'), Jensen (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Coventry
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Millwall
44.97% ( -0.72)	28.52% ( 0.23)	26.51% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 43.26% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.6% (

-0.47)

62.4% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.97% (

-0.35)

82.03% (

0.35)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.6)

27.75% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.78)

63.32% (

0.78)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.88% (

0.17)

40.12% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.24% (

0.15)

76.76% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 44.97%

Millwall 26.5%

Draw 28.51%

Bristol City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.69% Total : 44.97%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.51%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 26.5%