EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth0 - 1Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Millwall
Portsmouth may have struggled in recent meetings with Millwall, but they have progressed from the first round in the last two seasons, and we think that they will do enough to continue that run on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Millwall |
52.9% ( 0.15) | 24.7% ( 0.02) | 22.4% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
