EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
1 - 1
Fulham

Ledson (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (61')
Diop (17')

Preston win 16-15 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Preston North End and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Preston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Fulham

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%).

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Fulham
24.33% ( -0.69)	23.83% ( 0.47)	51.84% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

-2.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.62% (

-2.72)

46.38% (

2.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.33% (

-2.62)

68.66% (

2.62)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

-2.04)

33.19% (

2.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

-2.31)

69.8% (

2.31)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

-0.93)

17.89% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32% (

-1.63)

48.68% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 24.33%

Fulham 51.83%

Draw 23.83%

Preston North End	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.33%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.83%