Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.