Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 1
Luton

De Norre (22'), Hutchinson (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mengi (10')
Mengi (41'), Kaminski (85'), Doughty (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
41.22% ( 0.28)	26.32% ( 0.06)	32.45% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

-0.35)

52.13% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

-0.3)

73.85% (

0.3)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

-0.01)

24.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4% (

-0.01)

59.6% (

0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.4)

30.1% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

-0.49)

66.24% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Millwall 41.22%

Luton Town 32.45%

Draw 26.31%

Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.22%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.45%