Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.