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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Luton Town |
| 51.91% ( | 23.1% ( | 24.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( | 42.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( | 64.96% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( | 16.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( | 46.14% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( | 30.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( | 66.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.99% |