Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 2
QPR

Dunne (18' og., 18' og.)
Chong (2'), Chong (2'), Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79'), Clark (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Madsen (59', 59'), Frey (62', 62')
Cook (30'), Cook (30'), Field (51'), Field (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
35.8% ( 0.23)	26.1% ( -0.02)	38.09% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

0.1)

50.66% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

0.09)

72.56% (

-0.09)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

0.19)

27.28% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

0.25)

62.71% (

-0.25)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

-0.07)

25.97% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

-0.09)

60.98% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.8%

Queens Park Rangers 38.09%

Draw 26.1%

Luton Town	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 35.8%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.09%