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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 30.78% ( | 27.35% ( | 41.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% ( | 56.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( | 77.6% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( | 33.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( | 70.21% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( | 61.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.87% |