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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
30.78% ( 0.2) | 27.35% ( 0.02) | 41.87% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.71% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.37% ( -0.02) | 56.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.4% ( -0.02) | 77.6% ( 0.02) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% ( 0.13) | 33.56% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( 0.15) | 70.21% ( -0.15) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( -0.13) | 26.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.07% ( -0.17) | 61.93% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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