Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Cardiff

Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Preston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Cardiff
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
56.51% (1.804 1.8)23.6% (0.193 0.19)19.88% (-2.001 -2)
Both teams to score 49.69% (-3.511 -3.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-3.208 -3.21)50.34% (3.204 3.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-2.915 -2.92)72.28% (2.911 2.91)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.517 -0.52)17.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78% (-0.901 -0.9)48.21% (0.898 0.9)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (-3.861 -3.86)39.68% (3.857 3.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (-3.76 -3.76)76.35% (3.756 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.5%
    Cardiff City 19.88%
    Draw 23.6%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.13% (1.31 1.31)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.978 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.475 0.48)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.863 0.86)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Swansea vs Cardiff

Swansea City
74.5%
Draw
15.7%
Cardiff City
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')