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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 42.32% ( | 25.3% ( | 32.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( | 47.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( | 70.02% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( | 22.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( | 56.1% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( | 28.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( | 63.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.37% |