Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 0
Plymouth

Brownhill (26' pen.)
Egan Riley (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
58.15% ( -0.73)	21.61% ( 0.17)	20.23% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 56.67% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66% (

0.01)

41.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.27% (

0.01)

63.73% (

-0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

-0.22)

13.95% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57% (

-0.43)

41.43% (

0.43)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

0.56)

34.14% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

0.6)

70.83% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Burnley 58.15%

Plymouth Argyle 20.23%

Draw 21.61%

Burnley	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 58.15%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.23%