/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
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Josh Brownhill
26'
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CJ Egan Riley
33'
Burnley vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
58.15%
▼
(-0.73)
Draw
21.61%
▲
(+0.18)
Plymouth Argyle
20.23%
▲
(+0.56)
Both Teams to Score:
56.67%
▲
(+0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
41.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
36.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
63.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
19.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
80.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
86.04%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
13.95%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
58.57%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
41.43%
▲
(+0.44)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5
65.85%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 0.5
34.14%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 1.5
29.16%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 1.5
70.83%
▼
(-0.61)
Score analysis
Burnley
58.15%
Draw
21.61%
Plymouth Argyle
20.23%
Burnley
2-1
@
9.93%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 58.15%
1-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 58.15%
Draw
1-1
@
10.08%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.61%
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.61%
Plymouth Argyle
1-2
@
5.42%
▲
(+0.12)
0-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.23%
0-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.23%
