Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 1
Luton

Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Luton Town
35.97% ( 0.12)	24.18% ( -0.02)	39.85% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 60.66% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13% (

0.11)

41.86% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73% (

0.11)

64.27% (

-0.11)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.11)

23.09% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

0.16)

56.93% (

-0.16)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

21.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

-0)

53.98% (

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 35.97%

Luton Town 39.85%

Draw 24.17%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.97%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 39.85%