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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 28.74% ( | 23.63% ( | 47.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( | 42.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( | 63.04% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( | 17.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( | 48.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.63% |