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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Sunderland

Plymouth
3 - 2
Sunderland

Ballard (54' og.), Hardie (74' pen.), Edwards (90+3')
Gyabi (28'), Whittaker (46'), Szucs (57'), Edwards (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roberts (24' pen.), Mundle (86')
Bellingham (48'), Mundle (56'), Hume (59'), Roberts (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSunderland
28.74% (0.013000000000002 0.01)23.63% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)47.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)42.03% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.43% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.04% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)17.85% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)48.61% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 28.74%
    Sunderland 47.63%
    Draw 23.63%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 5.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Sunderland

Plymouth Argyle
22.2%
Draw
8.6%
Sunderland
69.1%
81
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sunderland
3-1
Plymouth
Ekwah (52'), Clarke (59'), Bellingham (67')
Ba (10')
Hardie (39')
Whittaker (24'), Phillips (33'), Mumba (44'), Gyabi (69'), Sorinola (87')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Plymouth
2-0
Sunderland
Whittaker (24'), Azaz (40')
Cundle (26'), Kesler (85'), Randell (90+1'), Mumba (90+2')

O'Nien (85')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Plymouth
0-0
Sunderland
Sessegnon (90+2')
Cirkin (59'), Evans (84')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
2-1
Plymouth
Neill (4'), Broadhead (13')
Winchester (45+1'), Stewart (54'), Wright (77'), O'Brien (81')
Scarr (64')
Edwards (22'), Houghton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Plymouth
1-3
Sunderland
Edwards (63')
Camara (42'), Law (49'), Opoku (54'), Edwards (76')
Opoku (64')
Stewart (21'), Maguire (84' pen.), Hume (90+2')