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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Blackburn logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Blackburn

Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
41.82% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)24.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)33.72% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)43.62% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)66.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)20.96% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)53.71% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.012 0.01)59.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 41.82%
    Blackburn Rovers 33.72%
    Draw 24.46%
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.82%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Burnley vs Blackburn

Burnley
63.4%
Draw
16.8%
Blackburn Rovers
19.8%
101
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
0-1
Burnley
Benson (66')
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
Oct 24, 2015 12.30pm