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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 47.61% ( | 25.35% ( | 27.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( | 50.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( | 72.54% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( | 33.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( | 69.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.04% |