Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.