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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 53.65% ( | 24.73% ( | 21.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( | 52.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( | 74.41% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( | 19.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.41% ( | 51.59% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( | 39.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( | 75.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.61% |