Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.