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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Cardiff

McNally (73')
McCrorie (49'), Sykes (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tanner (54')
Ralls (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Following the disappointment of a draw against Sheffield Wednesday in midweek, Bristol City will be raring to earn three points against their Severnside foes on Sunday. Cardiff's confidence has been raised by victory over Millwall on Tuesday, although we cannot envisage a shock win for the Bluebirds in the West Country. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
53.65% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 24.73% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 21.61% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.8% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)52.78% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)74.41% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)19.63% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.41% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)51.59% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 53.64%
    Cardiff City 21.61%
    Draw 24.73%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 21.61%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
21.4%
56
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Bristol City
0-1
Cardiff

King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Texans
13-21
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom12552137620
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
22Luton TownLuton123271420-611
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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