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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 55.54% ( | 23.35% | 21.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( | 47.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( | 70% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( | 17.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.77% ( | 47.22% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 0.91% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.02% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.1% |