Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
3 - 0
Bristol City

Goudmijn (28'), Jackson (60'), Ozoh (89')
Nyambe (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Derby (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
39.63% ( 0.01)	27.99% ( 0)	32.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.43% (

-0.01)

58.57% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.87% (

-0)

79.13% (

0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

28.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3%

64.7% (

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

-0.01)

33.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

-0.01)

70.06% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 39.62%

Bristol City 32.38%

Draw 27.98%

Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.38%