Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.