Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.