Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

O'Mahony (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sibley (72')
Kioso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Oxford United
40.72% ( 0.1)	24.83% ( 0.01)	34.45% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.02% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

-0.06)

45.17% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.48% (

-0.06)

67.52% (

0.06)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

0.02)

22.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

0.03)

55.53% (

-0.03)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

-0.09)

25.47% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69% (

-0.13)

60.31% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 40.72%

Oxford United 34.45%

Draw 24.83%

Portsmouth	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.45%