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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 51.18% ( | 24.56% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( | 49.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( | 71.57% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( | 19.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.86% ( | 51.13% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( | 34.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( | 71.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-0 @ 5% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3% Total : 51.17% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.26% |