EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds0 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 3-1 Middlesbrough
Leeds are likely to make a host of alterations to their XI for Wednesday night, but they should still have enough quality on the pitch to cause Middlesbrough serious issues. In comparison, Boro are not as well-endowed in terms of squad depth, so we are envisaging a swift first-round exit for last season's semi-finalists. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
49.89% ( -0.47) | 23.85% ( 0.53) | 26.26% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
