Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 2
Oxford Utd

Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Oxford United
50.56% ( 0.1)	23.83% ( -0.04)	25.61% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.16% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.72% (

0.08)

45.27% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.38% (

0.08)

67.61% (

-0.08)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

0.07)

17.96% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

0.12)

48.79% (

-0.12)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

-0.01)

31.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

-0.02)

67.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 50.56%

Oxford United 25.61%

Draw 23.83%

Luton Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.56%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.61%