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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Oxford United

Luton
2 - 2
Oxford Utd

Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')
Walsh (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Oxford United

Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between these two sides, and while neither have been particularly ruthless in attack so far, that is likely to happen again. Oxford's awful away form is a concern, and despite Luton's troubles, they will see themselves as favourites in this one, and could edge a narrow encounter to extend their home unbeaten run to 10 games over the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawOxford United
50.56% (0.103 0.1) 23.83% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.61% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)45.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.077999999999996 0.08)67.61% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.070000000000007 0.07)17.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (0.122 0.12)48.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.56%
    Oxford United 25.61%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Oxford Utd

Luton Town
62.7%
Draw
18.1%
Oxford United
19.3%
83
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Luton
3-1
Oxford Utd
Moncur (3', 73'), Lee (53')
Pearson (77')
Garbutt (60')
Brannagan (45'), Hanson (63'), Browne (80')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-2
Luton
Holmes (48')
Baptiste (28'), Hanson (76'), McMahon (90'), Brannagan (90')
Baptiste (73')
Collins (55'), Potts (90')
Stacey (66'), Lee (76'), Rea (82')
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
-
Luton
2-3
Oxford Utd
Vassell (72'), Hylton (82')
Rea (22'), Mullins (90')
Edwards (10'), Ruddock (70' og.), Johnson (85')
Edwards (34')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Luton
Hylton (2'), Dunkley (51')
Hylton (32'), Kenny (75')
Pigott (44', 58'), Lee (45')
Aug 15, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland86021661018
2Burnley85211441017
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd8530103716
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom8512126616
5Leeds UnitedLeeds8431135815
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn8431149515
7Middlesbrough842295414
8Watford84131213-113
9Hull City8332129312
10Norwich CityNorwich83321210212
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd83231210211
12Swansea CitySwansea832386211
13Bristol City8242913-410
14Stoke CityStoke83051012-29
15Derby CountyDerby83051012-29
16Millwall8224121118
17Coventry CityCoventry8224911-28
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth8224812-48
19Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds8224914-58
20Luton TownLuton8224813-58
21Preston North EndPreston8224712-58
22Queens Park RangersQPR8143914-57
23Portsmouth8044819-114
24Cardiff CityCardiff8116317-144


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