Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Middlesbrough
33.64% ( 0.21)	24.96% ( 0.38)	41.4% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 57.35% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

-1.7)

45.96% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

-1.62)

68.26% (

1.63)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

-0.69)

26.33% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54% (

-0.93)

61.46% (

0.93)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

-1)

22.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

-1.53)

55.55% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 33.64%

Middlesbrough 41.4%

Draw 24.96%

Norwich City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.64%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.4%