Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 0-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Middlesbrough
36.51% ( -0.01)	25.79% ( -0.07)	37.69% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73% (

0.3)

49.27% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67% (

0.27)

71.32% (

-0.27)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

0.14)

26.21% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7% (

0.18)

61.3% (

-0.18)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.18)

25.55% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.24)

60.41% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Watford 36.51%

Middlesbrough 37.69%

Draw 25.79%

Watford	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.51%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.69%