Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Tom Cleverley 24' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 76' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 87' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 88' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 23'
  • goal George Edmundson 54'

Watford vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2024 7.45pm
Preston 3 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
West Brom 0 - 1 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result

Watford 36.51% (-0.01)
Draw 25.79% (-0.07)
Middlesbrough 37.69% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.73% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 49.27% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 28.67% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 71.32% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 13.76% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 86.23% (-0.18)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 73.79% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 26.21% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 38.7% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 61.3% (-0.19)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 74.45% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 25.55% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 39.59% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 60.41% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Watford 36.51%
Draw 25.79%
Middlesbrough 37.69%
Watford
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.59% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 37.69%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Finn Azaz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Bangura 78' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 20'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 73'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 19' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 40' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 52' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 55' yellowcard
  • goal Riley McGree 5'
  • goal Riley McGree 12'
  • goal Josh Coburn 63'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 36' goal
  • Marcus Forss 45'+3' goal
Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 24' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 61' yellowcard
  • Hamza Choudhury 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 90'+3' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Muniz 4'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 38'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 82'
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 87'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Yannick Bolasie 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Chalobah 25'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 32'
Championship Gameweek 1
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Craig Cathcart 11' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 85' yellowcard