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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
| 43.96% ( | 24.76% ( | 31.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( | 45.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( | 53.63% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( | 27.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( | 63.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.27% |