Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.