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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 1
Coventry

Dele-Bashiru (67')
Pollock (38'), Porteous (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simms (4')
Torp (44'), Latibeaudiere (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Watford
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
43.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)25.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)30.21% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.064 0.06)50.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)72.71% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.021999999999991 0.02)23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)30.98% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.059000000000005 0.06)67.28% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 43.97%
    Coventry City 30.21%
    Draw 25.81%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
65.3%
Draw
22.2%
Coventry City
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-2
Coventry
Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
0-1
Coventry
Gyokeres (50')
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
rhs 2.0


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