Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Stoke

Doak (34'), Hackney (73')
Edmundson (43'), Hackney (45+1'), Doak (56'), Azaz (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (11'), Manhoef (27'), Wilmot (39'), Cannon (42'), Tchamadeu (59'), Gallagher (69'), Rose (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
45.99% ( 0.59)	25.09% ( -0.16)	28.91% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

0.44)

48.43% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

0.4)

70.56% (

-0.4)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

0.44)

21.08% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

0.69)

53.9% (

-0.69)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

-0.09)

30.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

-0.1)

66.93% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 45.99%

Stoke City 28.91%

Draw 25.09%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.99%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.91%