Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.