Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford

Gray (23', 90+6')
Mumba (1'), Gibson (54')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Issouf Bayo (9', 9'), Porteous (41')
Porteous (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Watford
39.21% ( -0.06)	23.45% ( 0.25)	37.34% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 63.57% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86% (

-1.29)

38.14% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.59% (

-1.39)

60.41% (

1.39)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

-0.58)

19.83% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.09% (

-0.95)

51.91% (

0.96)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29% (

-0.66)

20.71% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.68% (

-1.05)

53.32% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 39.21%

Watford 37.34%

Draw 23.45%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 39.21%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.34%