Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.