Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jerry Yates 8' goal
  • Kayden Jackson 57' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Randell 41'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Bundu 42'
  • yellowcard Matthew Sorinola 65'
  • yellowcard Bali Mumba 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Grimshaw 85'

Derby County vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Coventry 1 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
Plymouth 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mustapha Bundu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 67.52% (+0.01)
Draw 19.82% (-0.01)
Plymouth Argyle 12.66% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.74% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.66% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.34% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.44% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.56% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.97% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.02% (+0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 86.96% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.04% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 60.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.61% (+0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 52.6% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 47.4% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 17.21% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 82.79% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Derby County 67.51%
Draw 19.82%
Plymouth Argyle 12.66%
Derby County
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 67.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.82%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 4.62%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 12.66%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Home Park
  • Callum Wright 59' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 70' goal
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 17'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • James Collins 26' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 38' goal
  • David McGoldrick 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bali Mumba 34'
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 56'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 77'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 90'
Championship
Jan 26, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rory Fallon 29' yellowcard
  • Gary Sawyer 45' yellowcard
  • Jamie Mackie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Jay McEveley 14'
  • yellowcard Stephen Pearson 38'
  • yellowcard Nicky Hunt 45'
  • yellowcard Robbie Savage 78'
  • yellowcard Jake Buxton 81'
Championship
Aug 22, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jake Buxton 40' goal
  • Miles Addison 76' yellowcard
  • Miles Addison 90' goal
  • goal Alan Judge 17'
  • yellowcard Carl Fletcher 90'
Championship
Feb 7, 2009 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Gary Teale 43'
  • goal Rob Hulse 46'
  • goal Rob Hulse 52'
Championship
Oct 18, 2008 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rob Hulse 45' goal
  • Paul Green 52' goal
  • goal Paul Gallagher 8'