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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Derby
1 - 1
Plymouth

Yates (8')
Jackson (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (41')
Bundu (42'), Sorinola (65'), Mumba (68'), Grimshaw (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Derby
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)12.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 45.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.56% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)82.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 67.51%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.66%
    Draw 19.82%
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.62%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 12.66%

How you voted: Derby vs Plymouth

Derby County
71.7%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Derby
Wright (59'), Hardie (70' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
2-3
Plymouth
Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')
Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Derby
Mackie (82')
Fallon (29'), Sawyer (45')

McEveley (14'), Pearson (38'), Hunt (45'), Savage (78'), Buxton (81')
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Derby
2-1
Plymouth
Buxton (40'), Addison (90')
Addison (76')
Judge (17' pen.)
Fletcher (90')
Feb 7, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Derby
Hulse (46', 52'), Teale (43')
rhs 2.0


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