Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
1 - 2
Derby

Sakamoto (77')
Eccles (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yates (11'), Thomas (73' og.)
Cashin (34'), Adams (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Derby
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Derby County
46.27% ( 0.5)	24.42% ( 0.43)	29.31% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 57.19% (

-2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71% (

-2.46)

45.29% (

2.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37% (

-2.4)

67.63% (

2.4)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32% (

-0.78)

19.69% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32% (

-1.27)

51.68% (

1.27)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

-1.87)

28.8% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

-2.38)

64.65% (

2.38)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 46.27%

Derby County 29.31%

Draw 24.42%

Coventry City	Draw	Derby County
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.27%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.58) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.31%