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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
| 52.57% ( | 23.37% ( | 24.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( | 44.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( | 67% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( | 16.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( | 47.07% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( | 32.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( | 69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 24.06% |