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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Coventry City

Leeds
3 - 0
Coventry

Gnonto (16'), Bogle (49'), Piroe (79')
Rodon (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latibeaudiere (84'), Eccles (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
52.52% (0.707 0.71)23.49% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)23.99% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-0.518 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.346 -0.35)45.25% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.332 -0.33)67.59% (0.33099999999999 0.33)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.13500000000001 0.14)17.21% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.236 0.24)47.5% (-0.237 -0.24)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)32.88% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-0.828 -0.83)69.45% (0.82600000000001 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 52.52%
    Coventry City 23.99%
    Draw 23.48%
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 52.52%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Leeds vs Coventry

Leeds United
73.8%
Draw
12.3%
Coventry City
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
Simms (9'), Wright (49')
Bidwell (62'), Sheaf (71'), Simms (88'), Eccles (90+2')
Piroe (76')
Gruev (8'), Ampadu (88')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
1-1
Coventry
Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm