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Championship header 2

Championship

Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
3 - 2
Luton

Simms (59'), Torp (76'), Wright (90+2')
Kitching (13'), Sheaf (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morris (15' pen.), Adebayo (37')
Doughty (17'), Morris (18'), McGuinness (22'), Holmes (54')
Holmes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Championship

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
51.79% (-0.262 -0.26)23.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)24.78% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.20099999999999 0.2)44.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.195 0.2)66.58% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)17.1% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)47.3% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.31699999999999 0.32)31.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.365 0.36)68.05% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 51.79%
    Luton Town 24.78%
    Draw 23.42%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.78%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
28.2%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
38.5%
39
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 4.45pm
Coventry
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Luton win 6-5 on penalties)
Hamer (66')
McNally (46')
Clark (23')
Clark (99')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Coventry
1-1
Luton
Godden (45+1' pen.)
Lockyer (1')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
> Preview
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
> Preview