Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
3 - 0
Watford

Clark (11'), Morris (47'), Brown (90+1')
Clark (16'), Doughty (35'), Hashioka (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Issouf Bayo (6'), Porteous (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Watford
43.34% ( 0.38)	25% ( -0.08)	31.66% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

0.26)

46.74% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31% (

0.25)

69% (

-0.24)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

0.29)

21.58% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.34% (

0.44)

54.66% (

-0.44)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.06% (

-0.06)

27.94% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

-0.08)

63.57% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 43.34%

Watford 31.66%

Draw 24.99%

Luton Town	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.34%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.66%