Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.