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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Derby logo

Sheff Utd
1 - 0
Derby

Hamer (53')
Souza (38'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moore (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Warne (0'), Cashin (50'), Elder (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
28.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)47.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)65.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)63.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (0.053999999999995 0.05)49.34% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 28.65%
    Derby County 47.52%
    Draw 23.84%
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.52%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Derby

Sheffield United
62.1%
Draw
19.7%
Derby County
18.2%
66
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
1-3
Sheff Utd
Smith (59')
Ben Slimane (17'), Baldock (83'), Ndiaye (85')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Derby
2-0
Sheff Utd
Lawrence (69', 78')
Lawrence (78')

Ndiaye (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sheff Utd
1-0
Derby
Sharp (90' pen.)
Gibbs-White (24')

Shinnie (24')
Roos (57')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Sheff Utd
2-1
Derby
Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')
Sibley (44')
Sep 1, 2020 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Derby
0-2
Sheff Utd
Osborn (38'), Sharp (73')