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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
| 28.65% ( | 23.84% ( | 47.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( | 43.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( | 65.42% ( |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( | 63.77% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( | 18.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( | 49.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 47.52% |