Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 2
Sunderland

Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Sunderland
35.39% ( 1.88)	25.83% ( 0.6)	38.77% ( -2.49)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

-2.34)

49.53% (

2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

-2.14)

71.56% (

2.13)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.01)

26.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

0.02)

62.33% (

-0.03)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

-2.32)

25.07% (

2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

-3.32)

59.76% (

3.31)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.39%

Sunderland 38.77%

Draw 25.83%

Luton Town	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.77%