Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.