Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 0
Derby

Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Derby County
43.22% ( 0)	25.52% ( -0.01)	31.26%

Both teams to score 54.59% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.02)

49.16% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.02)

71.23% (

-0.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

0.01)

22.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

0.02)

56.31% (

-0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

0.01)

29.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

0.01)

65.4% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 43.22%

Derby County 31.26%

Draw 25.51%

Sunderland	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.22%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Derby

Sunderland

84.6%

Draw

9.0%

Derby County

6.4%

Head to Head

Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm

Derby

1-4

Sunderland

Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')

Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')

Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm

Grabban (42' pen.)
Vaughan (89')

Johnson (11')

Mar 1, 2008 3pm

Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')

Chopra (75')

Dec 1, 2007 3pm

Sunderland

1-0

Derby

Stokes (90')
Stokes (90')

McEveley (60')

Feb 24, 2007 3pm

Sunderland

2-1

Derby

Miller (90'), Connolly (27' pen.)
Connolly (67'), Collins (77')

McEveley (20'), Edworthy (26')

Form Guide

Watford 2-1 Sunderland

Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough

Plymouth 3-2 Sunderland

Portsmouth 1-3 Sunderland

Sunderland 1-0 Burnley

Sunderland 4-0 Sheff Weds

Derby 2-3 Norwich

Sheff Utd 1-0 Derby

Derby 1-0 Cardiff

Derby 3-0 Bristol City

Barrow 0-0 Derby (3-2 pen.)

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table