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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Tom Cannon
9'
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Andy Moran
71'
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Enda Stevens
77'
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Ben Gibson
82'
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Marcus Harness
48'
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Nat Phillips
54'
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Viktor Johansson
68'
(OG)
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Ebou Adams
79'
Stoke City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Stoke City Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.84%
0-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
1-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.71%